尿素国际: 本周尿素价格继续上涨
来源: FOB价格超过美元门槛: 六月 12, 2020
执行摘要
Buyer involvement
Urea prices continued to rise this week as buyers were involved in sales in June and July. From South Asia in East Asia to Latin America in the west, procurement has been widely spread. Some purchases are guaranteed by profits, while others are not.
Brazil has always been a leading market. The buyer has accepted that the price of shipment from July to August is as high as US $245 / 买家刺激贸易以得到保证, which supports the rise of FOB level. The Middle East paid US $225 / T FOB and Egypt paid US $233 / 离岸价.
The question now is, how far can this rebound go? India will bid soon and need a lot of procurement. 所以, it needs some Chinese urea. The current price is USD 230-235 / 吨FOB. Brazil surprised many people, but it is entering a busier period of the year and prices should continue to rise.
市场驱动因素
中国
Due to turning losses into profits, the output has decreased to about 150000 现在 / 天. Since July, exports are needed to maintain this level of production, but India needs China’s urea
巴西
Due to short covering and reduced quotation, the cost and freight of granular urea has soared to USD 240-245 / 吨. The air is getting hotter, but it is impossible to reduce prices in the short term
印度
In early June, China’s auto sales continued to be strong, stimulating import demand. The bidding is going on soon, and the price should be higher than last time
30-60 DAY展望
Next to
Traders and end buyers have stepped in, and the market is very stable in June and the first half of July. The next price test will be shipped on July 2 and August
